Terrain
Survey sheet · Vol. I No. 04
Early access open · Survey Vol. I No. 04

Don't find out about the tax thing two years in.

You get one move: a lease, a license, a five-year bet on a city. Everyone has a take ("just move to Texas"); nobody has receipts. Terrain scores every US metro on the six forces that move your margin (rent, taxes, hiring, demand, politics, and who's already on the block) and hands you a printable brief with a citation on every score. Something you can put in front of your co-founder that isn't vibes.

BM · DES MOINES 80.1 COMPOSITE / 100 FORT WAYNE 78.7 75 70 N 024 mi 93°40'W93°37'W93°34'W93°31'W 41°38'N 41°35'N
Plate 1 · Composite surface, specialty coffee Grid C-3 · NAD83
Post-1947 high
Corporate profit share of GDP. Incumbents have never been better funded to defend a market.
BEA NIPA tables
Century high
Industry concentration. The wrong metro means competing head-on with a chain's balance sheet.
SEC EDGAR 10-K segments
2 years
Runway a first-time operator can lose to one bad state-tax decision made before opening day.
IRS SOI state posture
Sheet 02 · Method Grid B-2

Six survey layers. One composite elevation.

Terrain reads a metro the way a surveyor reads ground: layer by layer, instrument by instrument. Each layer is scored 0 to 100 from named public sources, then weighted for your venture and capital.

Default weights · $180K retail founder
Concentration0.25
Cost base0.25
Regulatory0.15
Demand0.15
Political0.10
Talent0.10

Weights are yours to set. The demo brief uses these.

L-01

Concentration risk

HHI at 6-digit NAICS within a 1-mile radius, cross-checked against SEC EDGAR 10-K segment filings. Know how thin the incumbent field is before you sign a lease.

SEC EDGAR · Census CBP · OpenStreetMap
L-02

Regulatory gradient

State tax posture from IRS SOI, labor-rule drift from DOL, licensing friction by occupation. Modeled on a 5-year horizon, not just today's rate.

IRS SOI · DOL · state AG filings
L-03

Cost base

Rent from HUD FMR and CoStar, wages from BLS OES, energy from EIA, permit timing from city open data. Unit economics you can defend to a board.

HUD FMR · BLS OES · EIA
L-04

Demand signal

Census ACS income and population, BEA regional GDP, FCC broadband reach, CFPB complaint volume. Revenue capacity and consumer-protection heat in one score.

Census ACS · BEA · FCC · CFPB
L-05

Political telemetry

Ballotpedia measures, FEC filings, MIT Election Lab returns, EPA EJScreen siting flags. A stable trifecta through 2028 earns points; a hostile one costs them.

Ballotpedia · FEC · MIT · EPA
L-06

Talent gravity

USPTO PatentsView, NSF higher-ed R&D, IRS county-to-county migration, H-1B disclosures. Where the skill pool is going, not where it was.

USPTO · NSF · IRS · DOL H-1B
Sheet 03 · Worked example Grid C-3

A brief you can print and defend.

Follow one real query through the whole instrument: a specialty coffee shop, NAICS 722515, $180K capital, Midwest and Mountain West. Twelve metros ranked, one six-sheet brief, every score cited to its source.

Location brief · MSA 19780 Sheet 1 of 6
Des Moines, Iowa

Thin chain presence in specialty coffee (HHI 0.11), a state tax posture above the median, and prime-corner rent that is falling, not rising.

80.1
Composite / 100
Top of shortlist
Sheet 04 · Source index Grid D-1

Every score is cited. 47 sources, mostly public.

Government / public · 38
Commercial · 9
Concentration
  • SEC EDGAR 10-K / 10-Q
  • Census Business Patterns
  • NAICS Association
  • OpenCorporates
  • SBA Franchise Registry
  • OpenStreetMap POI
Regulatory
  • IRS SOI
  • Tax Foundation
  • DOL wage & hour
  • OSHA establishment data
  • State AG filings
  • CSG occupational DB
Cost surface
  • FRED
  • BLS OES & CPI
  • HUD Fair Market Rents
  • EIA state energy
  • City open permit data
  • CoStar (commercial)
Demand & political
  • Census ACS 5-yr
  • BEA Regional GDP
  • FCC broadband map
  • CFPB complaints
  • Ballotpedia · FEC
  • MIT Election Lab · EPA
Talent gravity
  • BLS employment
  • Census ACS occupation
  • USPTO PatentsView
  • NSF higher-ed R&D
  • IRS county migration
  • DOL H-1B disclosure
Sheet 05 · Access Grid D-4

Free at launch. Priced for one decision, not a subscription habit.

You are choosing a city once, maybe three times in a career. The free tier covers a full shortlist decision. Paid tiers arrive later for operators who scout continuously.

Free tier at launch
$0 / month · no card required
  • 3 deep-dive metro briefs per month
  • Ranked shortlist across 12 metros per query
  • Citation on every score, printable six-sheet brief
  • Weekly Sunday field report while we build
Sheet 06 · Field registration Grid E-2